Cong May Emerge single largest Party
in Uttrakhand
By
S.Rajen Todariya
Janpaksh Today and Center For Media Research And Analysis has conducted a broad base survey to understand and forecast the verdict of the people
of Uttrakhand. Intellectuals including journalists, common voters of different
region, cast and religion were contacted and their opinion was discussed thoroughly
with the experts of electoral behavior.
After this long exercise the possible picture of coming
assembly was prepared. This picture states that Uttrakhand is heading towards a
hung assembly in which Congress would be the single largest party. She may fall
short of majority by 2 to 8 MLA. Even then Cong would be able to manage it with
the help of her rebel candidates. It is predicted that Cong would be able to
win 27 to 34 seats in the assembly. BJP may bag below 25 seats, UKD may win at least
2 seats , B.S.P. may win 3 to 6 seats, the tally of independents may go up to 3
to 8 seats. BJP may loose 5 to 7 seats in Kumaun division and 6 to 8 seats from
Garhwal Region. Exit poll survey and analysis shows that BJP is on the way to
loose at least 12 seats. There are clear indication that Cong has done better
in Chamoli, Pauri, Tehri, Dehradun, Haridwar, Udhamsinghnagar, Nainital,
Pithoragarh and Bageshwar districts. BSP may suffer in Haridwar and Udhamsinghnagar.
Chief Minister of Uttrakhand General B.C.Khanduri is
finding himself in a tough contest.This possibility can not be ruled out that result
of Kotdwar constituency may prove a major upset to BJP. Cong rebel from
Devprayag, Rudraprayag, Dhanaulti, Kaladhungi , Gadarpur and Lalkunwa seats heading
to touch the victory mark. While BJP rebel from Pratapnagar, Purola, Karnprayag
seats are also in good position. UKD may bag Yamunotri and Dharchula seats and
Raksha Morcha may win the Lansdowne seat.
The possible picture of
Uttrakhand assembly
Total Seats-70
Cong- 27 to 34
BJP- 21 to 25
BSP- 3 to 6
UKD- 1 to 3
Others - 3 to 8
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